Premier League · Matchday 38
Pronostico Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC
domenica Maggio 24, 2026 15:00
Uncertain match expected on dimanche mai 24, 2026 between Sunderland AFC and Chelsea FC. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (38,1% / 25,6% / 36,3%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Sunderland AFC (12 in the Premier League, 47 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Chelsea FC (9, 48 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Chelsea FC: João Pedro (15)
- 📊 Tight standings: Sunderland AFC (12th) and Chelsea FC (9th) within 1 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 38, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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This simulation uses 1 of 3 AI algorithms. Premium unlocks all 3 for sharper predictions.
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Sunderland AFC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-14
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-19
- 2026-04-24
- 2026-05-02
Recent record for Sunderland AFC: 2W-1D-3L over the last 6 matches. 1,17 goal(s) scored on average vs 2,00 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%.
Chelsea FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-17
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-21
- 2026-05-04
⚽ Top scorer : João Pedro (15)
Recent record for Chelsea FC: 0W-0D-6L over the last 6 matches. 0,17 goal(s) scored on average vs 2,67 conceded. BTTS observed at 17%, Over 2.5 at 83%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Chelsea FC 1-2 Sunderland AFC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Statistically, Sunderland AFC (12 place, 47 pts) hosts Chelsea FC (9 place, 48 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Sunderland AFC and – for Chelsea FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1,40 for Sunderland AFC versus 1,36 for Chelsea FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 38,1% / 25,6% / 36,3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Sunderland AFC has a 38,1% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (52%) and BTTS (56%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC played? +
The Sunderland AFC - Chelsea FC match is scheduled for dimanche mai 24, 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Sunderland AFC and Chelsea FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Sunderland AFC as the favorite with a 38,1% win probability. Full odds: 38,1% for Sunderland, 25,6% draw, 36,3% for Chelsea.
What is the most likely score for Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,40 for Sunderland AFC and 1,36 for Chelsea FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 52% for this Sunderland AFC - Chelsea FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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