La Liga · Matchday 32
Riepilogo Deportivo Alavés vs RCD Mallorca
📅 sabato Aprile 25, 2026 ⏰ 12:00 Match finished
Final score
2 – 1
The Deportivo Alavés - RCD Mallorca match ended 2-1. Our AI prediction gave 42,5% for a Alavés win, 25,0% for a draw, and 32,6% for Mallorca.
On sabato Aprile 25, 2026, Deportivo Alavés and RCD Mallorca face off in the La Liga. Talacote's AI Predictor ran this match through Poisson, ELO, and Dixon-Coles models: our forecast gives Deportivo Alavés a slight edge.
Deportivo Alavés (rank 18, 33 pts) is looking to string together strong results against RCD Mallorca (rank 15, 35 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Deportivo Alavés (18th) and RCD Mallorca (15th) within 2 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 32, La Liga
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Alavés (42,5%, Odds 2,48)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 24,80 $ | +14,80 $ |
| 50 $ | 124,00 $ | +74,00 $ |
| 100 $ | 248,00 $ | +148,00 $ |
League standings
📊 Our analysis
Statistically, Deportivo Alavés (18 place, 33 pts) hosts RCD Mallorca (15 place, 35 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Deportivo Alavés and – for RCD Mallorca) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1,53 for Deportivo Alavés versus 1,31 for RCD Mallorca, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 42,5% Alavés win, 25,0% draw, 32,6% Mallorca win.
🏁 Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Deportivo Alavés win (42,5%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 54% Over 2.5 reading and the 57% BTTS — two markets to study.
Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Deportivo Alavés vs RCD Mallorca played? +
The Deportivo Alavés - RCD Mallorca match is scheduled for sabato Aprile 25, 2026 at 12:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Deportivo Alavés and RCD Mallorca? +
Our AI Predictor picks Deportivo Alavés as the favorite with a 42,5% win probability. Full odds: 42,5% for Alavés, 25,0% draw, 32,6% for Mallorca.
What is the most likely score for Deportivo Alavés vs RCD Mallorca? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,53 for Deportivo Alavés and 1,31 for RCD Mallorca.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 54% for this Deportivo Alavés - RCD Mallorca fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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