La Liga · Matchday 36
Pronostico CA Osasuna vs Club Atlético de Madrid
📅 martedì Maggio 12, 2026 ⏰ 19:30
Balanced fixture for CA Osasuna - Club Atlético de Madrid on martedì Maggio 12, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 34,9% home, 25,8% draw, 39,3% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
For CA Osasuna (10), hosting Club Atlético de Madrid (4) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Club Atlético de Madrid a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for CA Osasuna: Ante Budimir (16)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Club Atlético de Madrid: Alexander Sørloth (12)
- 🗓️ Matchday 36, La Liga
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
CA Osasuna
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-05
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-21
- 2026-04-26
- 2026-05-02
⚽ Top scorer : Ante Budimir (16)
Across its last 6 outings, CA Osasuna has 2 wins, 2 draw(s), and 2 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1,17 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1,17. Both teams have scored in 67% of recent games.
Club Atlético de Madrid
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-14
- 2026-04-22
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-04-29
- 2026-05-02
⚽ Top scorer : Alexander Sørloth (12)
Across its last 6 outings, Club Atlético de Madrid has 2 wins, 1 draw(s), and 3 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1,67 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1,67. Both teams have scored in 83% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Club Atlético de Madrid 1-0 CA Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 2025-05-15 | CA Osasuna 2-0 Club Atlético de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-12 | Club Atlético de Madrid 1-0 CA Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 2024-05-19 | Club Atlético de Madrid 1-4 CA Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 2023-09-28 | CA Osasuna 0-2 Club Atlético de Madrid | Primera Division |
📊 Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (42 pts vs 63 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1,30 vs 1,40). The <a class="tc-glossary-link" href="https://talacote.com/it/glossario/#dixon-coles" title="Definizione : Dixon-Coles">Dixon-Coles</a> model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 34,9% probability of a CA Osasuna win.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 34,9% / 25,8% / 39,3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Club Atlético de Madrid's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of CA Osasuna's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 83% of Club Atlético de Madrid's recent matches.
- ▸ CA Osasuna relies on Ante Budimir (16) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ Club Atlético de Madrid relies on Alexander Sørloth (12) as the La Liga top scorer.
🏁 Our verdict
Final prediction: <a class="tc-glossary-link" href="https://talacote.com/it/glossario/#edge" title="Definizione : edge">edge</a> to Club Atlético de Madrid (39,3% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 51%, BTTS at 55%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is CA Osasuna vs Club Atlético de Madrid played? +
The CA Osasuna - Club Atlético de Madrid match is scheduled for martedì Maggio 12, 2026 at 19:30 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between CA Osasuna and Club Atlético de Madrid? +
Our AI Predictor picks Club Atlético de Madrid as the favorite with a 39,3% win probability. Full odds: 34,9% for Osasuna, 25,8% draw, 39,3% for Atleti.
What is the most likely score for CA Osasuna vs Club Atlético de Madrid? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,30 for CA Osasuna and 1,40 for Club Atlético de Madrid.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 51% for this CA Osasuna - Club Atlético de Madrid fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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