La Liga · Matchday 35
भविष्यवाणी Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Girona FC
📅 सोमवार मई 11, 2026 ⏰ 19:00
On सोमवार मई 11, 2026, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Girona FC face off in the La Liga. Talacote's AI Predictor ran this match through Poisson, ELO, and Dixon-Coles models: our forecast gives Rayo Vallecano de Madrid a slight edge.
For Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (11), hosting Girona FC (16) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Rayo Vallecano de Madrid a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Jorge de Frutos (10)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Girona FC: Vladyslav Vanat (9)
- 🗓️ Matchday 35, La Liga
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-03
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-23
- 2026-04-26
- 2026-05-03
⚽ Top scorer : Jorge de Frutos (10)
Across its last 6 outings, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid has 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 2 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1,17 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1,17. Both teams have scored in 17% of recent games.
Girona FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-06
- 2026-04-10
- 2026-04-21
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-01
⚽ Top scorer : Vladyslav Vanat (9)
Across its last 6 outings, Girona FC has 1 wins, 1 draw(s), and 4 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 0,83 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1,33. Both teams have scored in 50% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-15 | Girona FC 1-3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-26 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2-1 Girona FC | Primera Division |
| 2024-09-25 | Girona FC 0-0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2024-02-26 | Girona FC 3-0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Primera Division |
📊 Our analysis
The table gap between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (11 place) and Girona FC (16 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. Expected goals are 1,45 for Rayo Vallecano and 1,08 for Girona, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 45,8% / 26,3% / 28,0% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🏁 Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid has a 45,8% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (50%) probabilities suggest an open match.
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Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Girona FC played? +
The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Girona FC match is scheduled for सोमवार मई 11, 2026 at 19:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Girona FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Rayo Vallecano de Madrid as the favorite with a 45,8% win probability. Full odds: 45,8% for Rayo Vallecano, 26,3% draw, 28,0% for Girona.
What is the most likely score for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Girona FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,45 for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and 1,08 for Girona FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Girona FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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