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Premier League · Matchday 38

भविष्यवाणी Nottingham Forest FC vs AFC Bournemouth

रविवार मई 24, 2026 15:00

Our AI Predictor examined the Premier League clash Nottingham Forest FC vs AFC Bournemouth. Verdict: Nottingham Forest FC carries a 42,3% chance of winning. Full breakdown below.

For Nottingham Forest FC (42 pts on the board, 16 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. AFC Bournemouth (52 pts, 6) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Nottingham Forest FC: Morgan Gibbs-White (13)
  • 🎯 Key scorer for AFC Bournemouth: Eli Kroupi (12)
  • 📊 League gap: AFC Bournemouth (6th) vs Nottingham Forest FC (16th)
  • ⚽ Nottingham Forest FC scores heavily: 2.67 goals/match average over last 6
  • 🗓️ Matchday 38, Premier League

AI Predictor Forecast

Nottingham wins
41,9%
Draw
24,7%
Bournemouth wins
33,5%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
58%
Expected goals (xG)
1,55 - 1,36

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League standings

Nottingham Forest FC
16 (43 pts)
AFC Bournemouth
6 (55 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Nottingham Forest FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D W D W W W
4/6
W
2/6
D
0/6
L
Goals scored/match 2,67
Goals conceded/match 0,50
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
  • 2026-03-15 Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 Fulham FC
  • 2026-03-22 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-3 Nottingham Forest FC
  • 2026-04-12 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Aston Villa FC
  • 2026-04-19 Nottingham Forest FC 4-1 Burnley FC
  • 2026-04-24 Sunderland AFC 0-5 Nottingham Forest FC
  • 2026-05-04 Chelsea FC 1-3 Nottingham Forest FC

⚽ Top scorer : Morgan Gibbs-White (13)

Nottingham Forest FC form: 4 wins, 2 draw(s), and 0 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (2,67) and defensive average (0,50) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 67%.

AFC Bournemouth

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D D W W D W
3/6
W
3/6
D
0/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,83
Goals conceded/match 1,00
Both teams to score 67%
Over 2.5 goals 83%
  • 2026-03-14 Burnley FC 0-0 AFC Bournemouth
  • 2026-03-20 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United FC
  • 2026-04-11 Arsenal FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
  • 2026-04-18 Newcastle United FC 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
  • 2026-04-22 AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United FC
  • 2026-05-03 AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace FC

⚽ Top scorer : Eli Kroupi (12)

AFC Bournemouth form: 3 wins, 3 draw(s), and 0 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1,83) and defensive average (1,00) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 83%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2025-10-26 AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Nottingham Forest FCPremier League
2025-01-25 AFC Bournemouth 5-0 Nottingham Forest FCPremier League
2024-08-17 Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 AFC BournemouthPremier League
2024-02-04 AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Nottingham Forest FCPremier League
2023-12-23 Nottingham Forest FC 2-3 AFC BournemouthPremier League

Our analysis

The table gap between Nottingham Forest FC (16 place) and AFC Bournemouth (6 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Nottingham Forest FC. Expected goals are 1,58 for Nottingham and 1,37 for Bournemouth, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 42,3% Nottingham win, 24,5% draw, 33,2% Bournemouth win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Nottingham Forest FC's recent matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of AFC Bournemouth's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 67% of AFC Bournemouth's recent matches.
  • Nottingham Forest FC relies on Morgan Gibbs-White (13) as the Premier League top scorer.
  • AFC Bournemouth relies on Eli Kroupi (12) as the Premier League top scorer.

Our verdict

Bottom line: our models converge on a Nottingham Forest FC win (42,3%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 56% Over 2.5 reading and the 59% BTTS — two markets to study.

Frequently asked questions

When is Nottingham Forest FC vs AFC Bournemouth played? +

The Nottingham Forest FC - AFC Bournemouth match is scheduled for dimanche mai 24, 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.

Who is the favorite between Nottingham Forest FC and AFC Bournemouth? +

Our AI Predictor picks Nottingham Forest FC as the favorite with a 42,3% win probability. Full odds: 42,3% for Nottingham, 24,5% draw, 33,2% for Bournemouth.

What is the most likely score for Nottingham Forest FC vs AFC Bournemouth? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,58 for Nottingham Forest FC and 1,37 for AFC Bournemouth.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 56% for this Nottingham Forest FC - AFC Bournemouth fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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