Premier League · Matchday 35
Σύνοψη Newcastle United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
📅 samedi mai 2, 2026 ⏰ 14:00 Match finished
Final score
3 – 1
The Newcastle United FC - Brighton & Hove Albion FC match ended 3-1. Our AI prediction gave 38,9% for a Newcastle win, 25,3% for a draw, and 35,8% for Brighton Hove.
Balanced fixture for Newcastle United FC - Brighton & Hove Albion FC on samedi mai 2, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 38,9% home, 25,3% draw, 35,8% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
Newcastle United FC (15 in the Premier League, 42 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Brighton & Hove Albion FC (6, 50 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 League gap: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (6th) vs Newcastle United FC (15th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 35, Premier League
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Newcastle (38,9%, Odds 2,71)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 27,10 $ | +17,10 $ |
| 50 $ | 135,50 $ | +85,50 $ |
| 100 $ | 271,00 $ | +171,00 $ |
League standings
📊 Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (42 pts vs 50 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1,44 vs 1,37). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 38,9% probability of a Newcastle United FC win.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 38,9% / 25,3% / 35,8% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🏁 Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Newcastle United FC win (38,9%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 53% Over 2.5 reading and the 57% BTTS — two markets to study.
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Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Newcastle United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC played? +
The Newcastle United FC - Brighton & Hove Albion FC match is scheduled for samedi mai 2, 2026 at 14:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Newcastle United FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Newcastle United FC as the favorite with a 38,9% win probability. Full odds: 38,9% for Newcastle, 25,3% draw, 35,8% for Brighton Hove.
What is the most likely score for Newcastle United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,44 for Newcastle United FC and 1,37 for Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 53% for this Newcastle United FC - Brighton & Hove Albion FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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