Premier League · Matchday 38
توقع Fulham FC vs Newcastle United FC
dimanche mai 24, 2026 15:00
Fulham FC hosts Newcastle United FC this dimanche at 15:00 in the Premier League. According to our AI, Fulham FC approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
For Fulham FC (48 pts on the board, 11 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Newcastle United FC (45 pts, 13) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Fulham FC: Harry Wilson (10)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Newcastle United FC: Bruno Guimarães (9)
- 📊 Tight standings: Fulham FC (11th) and Newcastle United FC (13th) within 3 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 38, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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This simulation uses 1 of 3 AI algorithms. Premium unlocks all 3 for sharper predictions.
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Fulham FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-15
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-02
⚽ Top scorer : Harry Wilson (10)
Fulham FC form: 2 wins, 2 draw(s), and 2 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (0,67) and defensive average (1,00) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 33%.
Newcastle United FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-18
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-02
⚽ Top scorer : Bruno Guimarães (9)
Newcastle United FC form: 1 wins, 0 draw(s), and 5 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1,33) and defensive average (2,50) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 83%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Newcastle United FC 2-1 Fulham FC | Premier League |
| 2025-02-01 | Newcastle United FC 1-2 Fulham FC | Premier League |
| 2024-09-21 | Fulham FC 3-1 Newcastle United FC | Premier League |
| 2024-04-06 | Fulham FC 0-1 Newcastle United FC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Fulham FC (form: –) meets Newcastle United FC (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 55% an
d a BTTS of 58% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 42,8% / 24,7% / 32,5% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of Newcastle United FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 83% of Newcastle United FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Fulham FC relies on Harry Wilson (10) as the Premier League top scorer.
- ▸ Newcastle United FC relies on Bruno Guimarães (9) as the Premier League top scorer.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Fulham FC win (42,8%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 55% Over 2.5 reading and the 58% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Fulham FC vs Newcastle United FC played? +
The Fulham FC - Newcastle United FC match is scheduled for dimanche mai 24, 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Fulham FC and Newcastle United FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Fulham FC as the favorite with a 42,8% win probability. Full odds: 42,8% for Fulham, 24,7% draw, 32,5% for Newcastle.
What is the most likely score for Fulham FC vs Newcastle United FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,56 for Fulham FC and 1,33 for Newcastle United FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this Fulham FC - Newcastle United FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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