La Liga · Matchday 34
ملخص Deportivo Alavés vs Athletic Club
📅 samedi mai 2, 2026 ⏰ 16:30 Match finished
Final score
2 – 4
Match verdict: Deportivo Alavés 2-4 Athletic Club. Talacote's AI Predictor had projected a 1-1 scoreline — post-match analysis below.
Find our detailed analysis of Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Club, kicking off on samedi mai 2, 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.
For Deportivo Alavés (36 pts on the board, 17 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Athletic Club (41 pts, 10) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 34, La Liga
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Alavés (43,6%, Odds 2,42)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
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📊 Our analysis
The table gap between Deportivo Alavés (17 place) and Athletic Club (10 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Deportivo Alavés. Expected goals are 1,50 for Alavés and 1,22 for Athletic, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 43,6% Alavés win, 25,5% draw, 31,0% Athletic win.
🏁 Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Deportivo Alavés has a 43,6% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (51%) and BTTS (55%) probabilities suggest an open match.
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Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Deportivo Alavés vs Athletic Club played? +
The Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Club match is scheduled for samedi mai 2, 2026 at 16:30 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Deportivo Alavés and Athletic Club? +
Our AI Predictor picks Deportivo Alavés as the favorite with a 43,6% win probability. Full odds: 43,6% for Alavés, 25,5% draw, 31,0% for Athletic.
What is the most likely score for Deportivo Alavés vs Athletic Club? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,50 for Deportivo Alavés and 1,22 for Athletic Club.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 51% for this Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Club fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
وصول مدى الحياة — دفعة واحدة، بدون اشتراك أبدًا
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